10/3/2025 – Maybe essentially the most highly effective manner of making certain that buying and selling for a residing doesn’t develop into residing for buying and selling is maximizing the standard of our time and expertise exterior of markets. Analysis in psychology may be very clear that experiences of happiness/pleasure and that means/success are related to extra power, higher well being, and better productiveness. The connection that’s notably related to buying and selling is that, once we dwell lives of pleasure and success, our notion is actually expanded. We develop into extra inventive and extra perceptive. Conversely, once we are extra pressured, we lose the capability to obviously understand what is going on round us.
What are we doing every day to deliver happiness to our lives? To do issues which are significant? To attach with individuals who matter to us? To have interaction in actions that energize us? If our buying and selling impoverishes our lives and takes away from these 4 priorities, we unwittingly domesticate a mindset that removes us from alternative. How effectively we dwell is intimately linked with how effectively we commerce.
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10/1/2025 – How are you going to commerce for a residing with out residing for buying and selling should you’re a short-term/intraday dealer? Do not you need to be glued to screens to seek out and exploit alternative?
As famous beneath, breadth patterns may be discovered on all time frames, together with very short-term. For these whose best abilities contain sample recognition, alternatives with the NYSE TICK and associated TICK measures arrange frequently–particularly when upticks and downticks throughout shares can now not transfer worth meaningfully increased/decrease. Conversely, we are able to monitor advances/declines for a given index in actual time and see when upticks/downticks are transferring the broad market.
What I am discovering notably promising is utilizing the longer-term breadth data to determine historic buying and selling edges over durations of days after which utilizing the intraday breadth patterns to determine when these edges are taking part in out right here and now. Which means buying and selling short-term, whereas being knowledgeable relating to the market’s greater image. Whereas ready for the chance set to line up throughout time frames, the market offers us time to interact in different actions, whether or not they be market analysis or getting different issues performed. We do not have to be glued to screens to regulate the establishing of intraday swings. Alternatively, I’ve identified merchants who restrict their buying and selling to patterns that arrange within the morning hours and who measurement these aggressively. They make their cash after which the remainder of the day is theirs.
Once we personal alternative, markets now not personal us.
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9/30/2025 – The best market alternatives happen on a number of time scales: they arrange on the short-term and in addition on the longer-term. When breadth patterns present up within the smaller and larger footage, it turns into potential to trip the exercise of the market’s largest contributors.
First off, breadth signifies that a number of shares/subsectors/sectors are taking part in a transfer. That may solely occur when establishments are allocating capital to the asset class or to a number of themes inside that asset class. Once we break breadth down sector by sector, subsector by subsector, and once we break breadth down by issue/themes (progress/worth; small cap/giant cap; rate of interest sensitivity), we are able to see how funds are flowing and take part that motion.
Second, breadth happens on a number of time scales. We will take a look at the variety of shares giving longer- and shorter-term purchase/promote indicators on technical indicators resembling transferring common crossovers. We will additionally take a look at new highs/lows over totally different time durations. Breadth may even be tracked successfully intraday by means of measures resembling TICK. My platform (Sierra Chart) follows actual time upticks vs. downticks for the general NYSE market, but additionally for small cap shares, for SPX shares, and for Dow shares. This makes it potential to determine in actual time whether or not a given transfer is broadly primarily based or restricted to a selected group of shares.
Once we require patterns to point out up on longer time frames in addition to medium and shorter ones, we commerce rather more selectively, however take part in essentially the most promising alternatives. This allows us to commerce for a residing with out having to dwell to commerce. As a substitute of chasing transferring markets, we patiently look forward to markets to provide us their finest setups. We will additionally pursue totally different alternatives on totally different time frames and in several elements of the market, giving us some ways to win.
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9/29/2025 – Right here is the undertaking I am engaged on:
I’ve been creating a really giant database of breadth-related data for U.S. shares. The database goes again greater than 20 years and contains day by day breadth data for the general market (NYSE, SPX) in addition to breadth data for particular person market sectors. It additionally contains the variety of shares giving day by day purchase and promote indicators throughout a number of technical indicator techniques, in addition to breadth information damaged down by issue (progress vs worth shares; small vs. giant cap shares; and so forth.). The database, when it’s accomplished, will present a take a look at ahead returns from 3 to 50 days out and determine when returns are statistically vital relative to common returns.
What which means is that I’ve all of the earlier days’ indicators that cowl the present buying and selling day, and I’ve new buying and selling indicators created by yesterday’s motion. That permits me to determine when ahead returns are most promising as a result of lining up of various indicators and the liner up of indicators throughout totally different time frames.
Intraday overbought/oversold standards are used to time entries within the bigger breadth patterns. There is no such thing as a intraday buying and selling, nevertheless; the breadth patterns are supposed to seize short-term swings and longer-term strikes within the indexes and inventory sectors. That gives diversification by timeframe in addition to by market.
Guidelines outline cease and take-profit ranges, in addition to cash administration standards for including and reducing place sizes primarily based upon the shifting of odds as markets transfer. This requires checking in in the marketplace within the morning and afternoon, however doesn’t require ongoing monitoring of minute-by-minute motion.
It is early within the recreation, however thus far the undertaking is worthwhile and is displaying promise by way of figuring out the elements of the market with the best odds of success. The inclusion of sectors creates a number of methods to win (for instance, being lengthy one sector with good historic odds and brief one other with poor odds and volatility adjusting the pair to be utterly market impartial). The steadiness of positions–across markets and throughout time frames–helps easy the P/L curve.
Crucial discovering thus far, nevertheless, is that this strategy has taken all the drama out of buying and selling. It has freed me up for my many different life priorities and but is each bit as difficult and fulfilling as short-term buying and selling by way of problem-solving and the seek for alternative. It’s potential to commerce for a residing with out residing for buying and selling. So most of the issues recognized by buying and selling coaches are a perform of the drama created by turning into connected to short-term market conduct. For me, one of the simplest ways to work on my psychology is to commerce inside a framework that pulls upon my best pursuits and strengths.
Life is just too brief for drama.