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Backtest vs Dwell: 7 Inquiries to Spot Failing EAs
What appears nice in technique tester usually dies in actual situations.
You noticed the curve. It seemed good.
Then you definately purchased the EA… and issues began going sideways.
That painful hole between backtest efficiency and reside execution has value merchants hundreds — not simply in cash, however in confidence. And the worst half? It’s often avoidable.
You simply want higher questions.
⚠️ Drawback: Backtests Can Lie (And Typically Do)
Most EA sellers know what the customer needs to see:
✅ Revenue
✅ Easy curve
✅ Low drawdown
So that they tweak inputs, cherry-pick pairs, and use unrealistic knowledge till the outcome appears magical.
What you get?
→ A backtest that by no means stood an opportunity in actual situations.
✅ Perception: You Want a Validation Guidelines
Listed below are 7 real-world questions I ask earlier than trusting any EA — even my very own.
1. Is the backtest curve too good?
If it by no means pulls again, it’s overfitted. Actual markets breathe.
2. Did it survive totally different brokers and spreads?
Take a look at it on variable unfold knowledge. If it breaks, it’s fragile.
3. What occurs throughout NFP or information spikes?
Skip information filtering? That’s a purple flag.
4. Does it depend upon uncommon situations (e.g., tight ranges)?
Then it’d fail in regular volatility.
5. What number of trades per 30 days?
Too few = no statistical edge. Too many = possible overfitting.
6. Is the logic defined or hidden?
In case you can’t perceive what triggers trades, you possibly can’t belief it.
7. Has the EA been examined reside — with verified stats?
If not, why are you risking actual cash?
📥 Get the Full Guidelines – Free Obtain
I turned these 7 factors right into a printable PDF.
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🔄 Bonus: Evaluate Your EA’s Curve to Ours
Right here’s the actual reside efficiency of our low-drawdown bot — no filters, no hype.
It’s not good. It’s constant. And that’s precisely what you’ll want to survive reside markets.
🟢 Ultimate Thought: Don’t Let a Stunning Curve Idiot You
Ask the arduous questions earlier than the market does.
Backtests are advertising and marketing. Survival is math.
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